Wrexham vs Ebbsfleet United: result 1-0 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 1, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam
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What was the result of Wrexham vs Ebbsfleet United?
Wrexham won 1-0 on October 1, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 78′Jake Carl SpeightWrexham
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Wrexham have 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 2, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2011 | Mansfield Town(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Grimsby(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Southport(away) | 0-0 | National League |
| Sep 17, 2011 | York(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Barrow(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2011 | Bath City(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Alfreton Town(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Cambridge United(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 2-2 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Wrexham score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 12; Ebbsfleet United score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/12 | 7/12 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/12 | 7/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy