Grimsby vs Alfreton Town: result 5-2 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 1, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
Full time
What was the result of Grimsby vs Alfreton Town?
Grimsby won 5-2 on October 1, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 18′Paul ClaytonAlfreton Town
- 57′Liam HearnGrimsby
- 60′Liam HearnGrimsby
- 70′Liam HearnGrimsby
- 86′Liam HearnGrimsby
- 90′Nathan JarmanAlfreton Town
- 90′Anthony EldingGrimsby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Grimsby have 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Alfreton Town have 2, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2011 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Wrexham(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Kettering Town(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Stockport County(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Hayes & Yeading United(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2011 | AFC Telford United(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Barrow(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Braintree(home) | 0-1 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Grimsby score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 12; Alfreton Town score 0.8 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/12 | 6/12 |
| Alfreton Town | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/12 | 6/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy