Wrexham vs Gainsborough Trinity: result 3-1 and analysis
FA TrophySemi-finalsKick-off on February 16, 2013 at 12:45 PM (UTC)STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam
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What was the result of Wrexham vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Wrexham won 3-1 on February 16, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 19′D. WrightWrexham
- 28′Darryn Michael StampGainsborough Trinity
- 65′A. CieślewiczWrexham
- 90′Neil John AshtonWrexham
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wrexham have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 7, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2013 | Hereford United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Feb 9, 2013 | Stockport County(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Feb 2, 2013 | Forest Green(away) | 0-0 | National League |
| Jan 29, 2013 | Southport(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Jan 26, 2013 | Southport(away) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2013 | Barrow(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 12, 2013 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Forest Green(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Harrogate Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 13, 2012 | Hinckley United(away) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Wrexham score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 1.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham | 2.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/13 | 7/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy