Wrexham vs Leeds: result 3-2 and analysis
Premier League - Summer SeriesRegular Season - 1Kick-off on July 25, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam
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What was the result of Wrexham vs Leeds?
Wrexham won 3-2 on July 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 1′K. MooreWrexham
- 29′J. PiroeLeeds
- 41′B. CadamarteriWrexham
- 45′S. LongstaffLeeds
- 86′S. SmithWrexham
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Leeds win at 44%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 3-2.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wrexham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Leeds have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 11, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Wrexham score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham | 1.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Leeds | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy