Liverpool vs Sunderland: result 4-2 and analysis
Premier League - Summer SeriesRegular Season - 1Kick-off on July 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Anfield, Liverpool
Full time
What was the result of Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Liverpool won 4-2 on July 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 13′K. MorrisonLiverpool
- 28′E. Le FéeSunderland
- 49′T. TuterovSunderland
- 57′D. SzoboszlaiLiverpool
- 72′F. ChiesaLiverpool
- 86′L. KoumasLiverpool
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a Liverpool win at 64%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0 — actual score: 4-2.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sunderland have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | York(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Everton(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 2, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Liverpool win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Sunderland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Sunderland 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Liverpool 1-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Jan 2, 2017 | Sunderland 2-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Liverpool 2-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Liverpool 2-2 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2015 | Sunderland 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sunderland vs Liverpool on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sunderland | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liverpool sit 1st in Premier League - Summer Series (3 points from 1 matches) and Sunderland sit 4th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy