Wycombe U21 vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats
Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Wycombe U21 the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wycombe U21 vs Derby County U21?
Wycombe U21 starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Wycombe U21 have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Derby County U21 have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brentford U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 2-6 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hull City U21(home) | 1-4 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Brentford U21(away) | 0-2 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Reading U21(away) | 1-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
How many goals should we expect?
Wycombe U21 score 0.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 1; Derby County U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wycombe U21 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| Derby County U21 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derby County U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wycombe U21 vs Derby County U21?
- The Footlab model makes Wycombe U21 the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Derby County U21.
- Where and when is Wycombe U21 vs Derby County U21 played?
- Wycombe U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Bristol City U214-0Reading U21
- Aug 14, 2026Leicester City U213-1Plymouth U21
- Aug 14, 2026Derby County U211-4Hull City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Wolves U212-0Burnley U21
- Aug 14, 2026Stoke City U210-0Leeds United U21
- Aug 14, 2026Swansea City U213-0Birmingham City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Southampton U214-0Blackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 14, 2026Brighton U212-0Millwall U21