Match

Wycombe U21 vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats

Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Wycombe U21Derby County U21

The Footlab model makes Wycombe U21 the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wycombe U21 vs Derby County U21?

Wycombe U21 starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,647).

Wycombe U21 win48 %
Draw22 %
Derby County U21 win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Wycombe U21 have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Derby County U21 have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wycombe U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Brentford U21(away)0-2Premier League Cup
Derby County U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026FC Halifax Town(away)2-6National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Hull City U21(home)1-4Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Carlisle(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026Brentford U21(away)0-2Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026Reading U21(away)1-4Premier League 2 Division One

How many goals should we expect?

Wycombe U21 score 0.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 1; Derby County U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wycombe U210.02.000/10/1
Derby County U211.12.348/158/15

Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Derby County U21612315125

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wycombe U21 vs Derby County U21?
The Footlab model makes Wycombe U21 the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Wycombe U21 vs Derby County U21 played?
Wycombe U21 vs Derby County U21 is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Wycombe U21 and Derby County U21

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