Xerez vs Sevilla Atletico: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera
The Footlab AI model makes Xerez the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Sevilla Atletico. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 3, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xerez vs Sevilla Atletico?
Xerez starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,931 vs 1,818).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Xerez vs Sevilla Atletico
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Xerez
Not enough data to predict the Xerez lineup.
Sevilla Atletico
4-3-3- 28M. Castillo
- 15J. Pedraza
- 26B. Sow
- 22L. Dasilva
- 8Eduardo Altozano Agudo
- 41Jesus Cruz
- 20Valentino Fattore
- 19S. Martinez
- 24A. Espineira
- 2J. Moreno
- 25L. Luchino
Computed on November 3, 2026 at 09:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Sevilla Atletico have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 1-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Puente Genil(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Badajoz(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Xerez win, 0 draws, 0 Sevilla Atletico wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2025 | Xerez 2-1 Sevilla Atletico | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Xerez vs Sevilla Atletico on Aug 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla Atletico score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xerez | 0.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Sevilla Atletico | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Xerez sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (12 points from 9 matches) and Sevilla Atletico sit 7th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sevilla Atletico | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Xerez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 12 |
A question about Xerez vs Sevilla Atletico?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Sevilla Atletico?
- The Footlab AI model makes Xerez the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Sevilla Atletico.
- Where and when is Xerez vs Sevilla Atletico played?
- Xerez vs Sevilla Atletico is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027Don BenitovsMijas Las Lagunas
- Mar 7, 2027AntonianovsLinares Deportivo
- Mar 7, 2027TamaraceitevsAtlético Central
- Mar 7, 2027SanluqueñovsTenerife II
- Mar 7, 2027Ciudad de LucenavsLas Palmas II
- Mar 7, 2027Real Betis IIvsMarbella
- Mar 7, 2027Atlético PasovsRecreativo Huelva
- Mar 7, 2027EsteponavsBadajoz