Match

Estepona vs Badajoz: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona

EsteponaBadajoz

The Footlab AI model makes Estepona the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Badajoz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estepona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estepona vs Badajoz?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Estepona (1,942) and Badajoz (2,004).

40%29%31%
Estepona winDrawBadajoz win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Estepona vs Badajoz

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Estepona

4-3-3
  1. 20Daniel Sancho
  2. 10Ale Conteras
  3. 16D. Ballarin
  1. 15Javi Duarte
  2. 6J. Aguilera
  3. 17S. Baradji
  1. 26A. Gonzalez
  2. 3A. Candelas
  3. 5Titi Fernández
  4. 22José Caro
  1. 1J. Ruiz

Badajoz

Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:24 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Badajoz have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estepona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Marbella(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Atlético Central(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 3, 2026Don Benito(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 27, 2026Tenerife II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 19, 2026Puente Genil(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Badajoz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Sanluqueño(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Marbella(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 4, 2026Sevilla Atletico(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 27, 2026Las Palmas II(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 20, 2026Real Betis II(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Estepona score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Badajoz score 1.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Estepona1.71.2411/159/15
Badajoz1.40.585/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Estepona sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (11 points from 7 matches) and Badajoz sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Badajoz74218514
7Estepona732210911

A question about Estepona vs Badajoz?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Badajoz?
The Footlab AI model makes Estepona the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Badajoz.
Where and when is Estepona vs Badajoz played?
Estepona vs Badajoz is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Estepona and Badajoz

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