Where and when is Xerez vs Tamaraceite played?

Xerez vs Tamaraceite is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Xerez vs Tamaraceite: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera

Xerez

Tamaraceite

The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Tamaraceite. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Xerez vs Tamaraceite?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Xerez (1,927) and Tamaraceite (1,862).

Xerez win50 %

Draw29 %

Tamaraceite win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Tamaraceite have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Xerez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portuense(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Conquense(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Conquense(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Ucam Murcia(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Tamaraceite
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 4, 2026	Tenerife(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	San Fernando CD(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026	San Fernando CD(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Xerez	0.7	0.5	8	4/15	2/15
Tamaraceite	1.9	1.2	4	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Xerez	34	17	8	9	32	24	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Tamaraceite?: The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Tamaraceite.
Where and when is Xerez vs Tamaraceite played?: Xerez vs Tamaraceite is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.