Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, Lucena
The Footlab AI model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella?
Ciudad de Lucena starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,799).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ciudad de Lucena
Not enough data to predict the Ciudad de Lucena lineup.
Marbella
4-3-3- 20J. Cambra
- 17Alexiel
- 19E. Ohemeng
- 8Eugeni Valderrama
- 16A. Ruiz
- 10A. Gil
- 22J. Rodriguez
- 23Alberto Escassi
- 2J. Alvarez
- 5A. Carbonell
- 1Manu García
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Lucena have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Marbella have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Puente Genil(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badajoz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ciudad de Lucena score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudad de Lucena | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Marbella | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ciudad de Lucena sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (11 points from 6 matches) and Marbella sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ciudad de Lucena | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 14 | Marbella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Marbella.
- Where and when is Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella played?
- Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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