Where and when is Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella played?

Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, Lucena

Ciudad de Lucena

Marbella

The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella?

Ciudad de Lucena starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,949 vs 1,799).

Ciudad de Lucena win60 %

Draw25 %

Marbella win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Lucena have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Marbella have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ciudad de Lucena
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Dos Hermanas(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 3, 2026	Cádiz II(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Apr 26, 2026	Tomares(home)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Apr 18, 2026	Bollullos(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Apr 12, 2026	Sevilla III(away)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

Marbella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 22, 2026	Teruel(home)	3-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026	Alcorcon(away)	2-6	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Eldense(away)	1-3	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sabadell(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Ciudad de Lucena score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ciudad de Lucena	2.5	0.7	9	5/15	11/15
Marbella	1.5	1.8	3	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella?: The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Marbella.
Where and when is Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella played?: Ciudad de Lucena vs Marbella is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Lucena, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.