Marbella vs Xerez: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella
The Footlab AI model makes Marbella the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marbella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marbella vs Xerez?
On Elo ratings, Marbella has 1,799 points and Xerez 1,931.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marbella vs Xerez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marbella
4-3-3- 20J. Cambra
- 17Alexiel
- 19E. Ohemeng
- 8Eugeni Valderrama
- 16A. Ruiz
- 10A. Gil
- 22J. Rodriguez
- 23Alberto Escassi
- 2J. Alvarez
- 5A. Carbonell
- 1Manu García
Xerez
Not enough data to predict the Xerez lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbella have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Xerez have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badajoz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marbella score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Xerez | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marbella sit 14th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (6 points from 7 matches) and Xerez sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Xerez | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 14 | Marbella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Marbella vs Xerez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marbella vs Xerez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marbella the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Xerez.
- Where and when is Marbella vs Xerez played?
- Marbella vs Xerez is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Feb 28, 2027Las Palmas IIvsAntoniano
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