Where and when is Marbella vs Xerez played?

Marbella vs Xerez is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marbella vs Xerez: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella

Marbella

Xerez

The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marbella vs Xerez?

Xerez starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,799).

Marbella win34 %

Draw31 %

Xerez win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbella have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Xerez have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marbella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 22, 2026	Teruel(home)	3-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026	Alcorcon(away)	2-6	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Eldense(away)	1-3	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sabadell(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Xerez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portuense(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Conquense(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Conquense(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Ucam Murcia(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marbella	1.5	1.8	3	7/15	7/15
Xerez	0.7	0.5	8	4/15	2/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Xerez	34	17	8	9	32	24	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marbella vs Xerez?: The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Marbella.
Where and when is Marbella vs Xerez played?: Marbella vs Xerez is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.