Xorazm vs Qizilqum: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Xorazm, Urgench
The Footlab model makes Xorazm the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Qizilqum. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xorazm vs Qizilqum?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Xorazm (1,564) and Qizilqum (1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xorazm have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Qizilqum have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dinamo Samarqand(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mash'al(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Navbahor(away) | 1-5 | Super League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Surkhon(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sogdiana(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mash'al(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 0-5 | Super League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Nasaf(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Navbahor(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Xorazm win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Qizilqum win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Qizilqum 0-0 Xorazm | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Xorazm 0-1 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Qizilqum 0-3 Xorazm | Super League |
| Apr 22, 2021 | Xorazm 1-4 Qizilqum | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Xorazm score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Qizilqum score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xorazm | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Qizilqum | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Xorazm sit 10th in Super League (13 points from 11 matches) and Qizilqum sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Xorazm | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 13 |
| 11 | Xorazm | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 20 |
| 12 | Qizilqum | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 26 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xorazm vs Qizilqum?
- The Footlab model makes Xorazm the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Qizilqum.
- Where and when is Xorazm vs Qizilqum played?
- Xorazm vs Qizilqum is played on September 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Xorazm, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.