Qizilqum vs Navbahor: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy
The Footlab AI model makes Navbahor the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Qizilqum. The most likely score is 1-1. If Navbahor wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,681 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qizilqum vs Navbahor?
Navbahor starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,767 vs 1,603).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Qizilqum vs Navbahor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Qizilqum
4-3-3- 88Otabek Jo‘raqo‘ziev
- 10I. Kenzhaboev
- 47Ruslan Roziyev
- 8S. Rahmatullayev
- 31J. Jighauri
- 9S. Turopov
- 15N. Kumburović
- 40N. Nematkhonov
- 44G. Rizakulov
- 7F. Jumankuziev
- 1F. Rahmatov
Navbahor
4-3-3- 7Ruslanbek Jiyanov
- 11H. Norchaev
- 23V. Ilić
- 8D. Kholmatov
- 6S. Abdurahmonov
- 13B. Teidi
- 55M. Khamraliev
- 4I. Mamatkazin
- 5D. Komilov
- 34G. Jgerenaia
- 1U. Yusupov
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 01:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qizilqum have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Navbahor have 10, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Andijan(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Surkhon(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Xorazm(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Dinamo Samarqand(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Xorazm(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Gazalkent(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pakhtakor(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olmaliq(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dinamo Samarqand(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Qizilqum win, 2 draws, 3 Navbahor wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Navbahor 1-1 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Navbahor 1-0 Qizilqum | Super League |
| May 4, 2025 | Qizilqum 3-2 Navbahor | Super League |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Qizilqum 1-5 Navbahor | Super League |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Navbahor 0-0 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Qizilqum 1-2 Navbahor | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Qizilqum score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Navbahor score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qizilqum | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Navbahor | 2.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qizilqum sit 8th in Super League (34 points from 25 matches) and Navbahor sit 3rd (46 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Navbahor | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 46 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 34 |
A question about Qizilqum vs Navbahor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qizilqum vs Navbahor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Navbahor the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Qizilqum.
- Where and when is Qizilqum vs Navbahor played?
- Qizilqum vs Navbahor is played on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.