Match

Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 26Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yalova Atatürk Stadyumu, Yalova

Yalova YeşilovasporKarabük İdman Yurdu

The Footlab model makes Yalova Yeşilovaspor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Karabük İdman Yurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Yalova Yeşilovaspor (1,559) and Karabük İdman Yurdu (1,552).

Yalova Yeşilovaspor win41 %
Draw28 %
Karabük İdman Yurdu win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yalova Yeşilovaspor have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Karabük İdman Yurdu have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yalova Yeşilovaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026İnkılapspor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Çorluspor 1947(home)0-23. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Etimesgut SK(away)0-23. Lig - Group 1
Mar 28, 20261926 Polatlı Belediye(home)1-23. Lig - Group 1
Mar 24, 2026Nilüfer Belediye(away)2-33. Lig - Group 1
Karabük İdman Yurdu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Giresunspor(away)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Pazarspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Fatsa Belediyespor(away)3-23. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026Artvin Hopaspor(home)3-13. Lig - Group 3
Mar 24, 2026Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(away)0-03. Lig - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Yalova Yeşilovaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karabük İdman Yurdu score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yalova Yeşilovaspor1.11.348/156/15
Karabük İdman Yurdu1.20.985/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Yalova Yeşilovaspor3091011383637

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu?
The Footlab model makes Yalova Yeşilovaspor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Karabük İdman Yurdu.
Where and when is Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu played?
Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yalova Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Yalova Yeşilovaspor and Karabük İdman Yurdu

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