Gölcükspor vs Pazarspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 26Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gölcük İhsaniye Stadı, Gölcük
The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Gölcükspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gölcükspor vs Pazarspor?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Gölcükspor (1,498) and Pazarspor (1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gölcükspor have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Pazarspor have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Bursaspor(away) | 2-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Bartınspor(home) | 3-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Gebzespor(home) | 2-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| May 1, 2021 | Arhavispor(home) | 5-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Zonguldak Kömürspor(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Düzcespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gölcükspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Pazarspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | Gölcükspor 2-1 Pazarspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Pazarspor 3-1 Gölcükspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Gölcükspor 6-6 Pazarspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Pazarspor 2-1 Gölcükspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 6, 2013 | Pazarspor 3-2 Gölcükspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2012 | Gölcükspor 0-0 Pazarspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gölcükspor vs Pazarspor on Feb 15, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Gölcükspor score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pazarspor score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gölcükspor | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Pazarspor | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gölcükspor vs Pazarspor?
- The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Gölcükspor.
- Where and when is Gölcükspor vs Pazarspor played?
- Gölcükspor vs Pazarspor is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gölcük İhsaniye Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027Fatsa BelediyesporvsZonguldak Kömürspor
- Mar 7, 2027SilivrisporvsOrduspor 1967
- Mar 7, 2027Karadeniz Ereğli BSKvsGalata
- Mar 7, 2027Amasyaspor 1968vsBeykoz Anadolu
- Mar 7, 2027Kartal Bulvarsporvsİnkılapspor
- Mar 7, 2027Tokat Bld PlevnesporvsDüzcespor
- Mar 7, 2027Beykoz İshaklısporvsKüçükçekmece Sinopspor
- Mar 7, 2027Yalova YeşilovasporvsKarabük İdman Yurdu