Match

Yate Town vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire

Yate TownPlymouth Parkway

The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yate Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,811) and Plymouth Parkway (1,812).

Yate Town win50 %
Draw24 %
Plymouth Parkway win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yate Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bracknell Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chippenham Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Leamington(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Plymouth Parkway
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Havant & Wville(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chippenham Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bath City(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Bracknell Town(home)7-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 11, 2026Plymouth(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Yate Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Plymouth Parkway win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Plymouth Parkway 1-0 Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Sep 27, 2025Yate Town 2-1 Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South
Feb 25, 2023Plymouth Parkway 2-1 Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 11, 2022Yate Town 4-0 Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Plymouth Parkway vs Yate Town on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yate Town1.51.148/157/15
Plymouth Parkway2.51.5410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Yate Town4220538
5Plymouth Parkway42111257

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Plymouth Parkway.
Where and when is Yate Town vs Plymouth Parkway played?
Yate Town vs Plymouth Parkway is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Yate Town and Plymouth Parkway

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