Frome Town vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AlderSmith Stadium, Frome, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frome Town vs Malvern Town?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Frome Town (1,877) and Malvern Town (1,789).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frome Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Malvern Town have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Frome Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Malvern Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Frome Town 2-1 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Malvern Town 1-6 Frome Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Frome Town 4-0 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Malvern Town 1-3 Frome Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Frome Town vs Malvern Town on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frome Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frome Town vs Malvern Town?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Frome Town vs Malvern Town played?
- Frome Town vs Malvern Town is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AlderSmith Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 6, 2027Taunton TownvsEvesham United
- Feb 6, 2027UxbridgevsSholing
- Feb 6, 2027Basingstoke TownvsBerkhamsted
- Feb 6, 2027Chertsey TownvsGosport Borough
- Feb 6, 2027Chichester CityvsBracknell Town
- Feb 6, 2027Poole TownvsChippenham Town
- Feb 6, 2027Wimborne TownvsHanwell Town
- Feb 6, 2027Yate TownvsPlymouth Parkway