Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, Malatya
The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Karaköprü Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,621) and Karaköprü Belediyespor (1,559).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Karaköprü Belediyespor have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 4-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kapadokyaspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away) | 2-6 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ağrı 1970(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Karaköprü Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 6-2 Karaköprü Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Karaköprü Belediyespor 2-1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karaköprü Belediyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Karaköprü Belediyespor | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Karaköprü Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor played?
- Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor is played on March 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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