Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Faruk Çelik Spor Kompleksi, Şanlıurfa
The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Karaköprü Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Karaköprü Belediyespor (1,548) and Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,610).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karaköprü Belediyespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kapadokyaspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away) | 2-6 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ağrı 1970(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 4-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Karaköprü Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 6-2 Karaköprü Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Karaköprü Belediyespor 2-1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karaköprü Belediyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karaköprü Belediyespor | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Karaköprü Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor played?
- Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Faruk Çelik Spor Kompleksi, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 22, 2026Ağrı 1970vsYozgat Bld Bozokspor
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- Nov 22, 2026Karaman FKvsDiyarbekirspor
- Nov 22, 2026Silifke BelediyesporvsKırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
- Nov 22, 2026Niğde BelediyesisporvsTalasgücü Belediyespor
- Nov 22, 2026Adana AdaletgucuvsMazıdağı Fosfatspor