Ynyshir Albions vs Caerau (Ely): result 1-4 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 1Kick-off on July 26, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Ynyshir Oval, Porth
Full time
What was the result of Ynyshir Albions vs Caerau (Ely)?
Caerau (Ely) won 1-4 on July 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 8′635553Ynyshir Albions
- 34′J. TurnerCaerau (Ely)
- 35′Z. MaherCaerau (Ely)
- 36′T. McLeanCaerau (Ely) (pen.)
- 68′635555Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ynyshir Albions have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Afan Lido(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Llantwit Major(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 10, 2023 | llanelli AFC(home) | 2-7 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 3-4 | League Cup |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Goytre United(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ynyshir Albions score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 0.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ynyshir Albions sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ynyshir Albions | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2025Newport City1-0Afan Lido
- Jul 25, 2025Cambrian & Clydach4-0Treowen Stars
- Jul 25, 2025Trethomas Bluebirds1-2Trefelin
- Jul 26, 2025Cwmbran Celtic0-4Carmarthen Town
- Jul 26, 2025Llantwit Major1-2Aberystwyth Town
- Jul 26, 2025Cardiff Draconians0-1Ammanford AFC
- Jul 27, 2025Baglan Dragons3-0Pontypridd Town