York vs Carlisle: result 5-0 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 23, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)LNER Community Stadium, York, North Yorkshire
Full time
What was the result of York vs Carlisle?
York won 5-0 on September 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′M. Fagan-WalcottYork
- 39′O. PearceYork (pen.)
- 44′O. PearceYork
- 49′A. NewbyYork
- 86′J. StonesYork
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, York have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Carlisle have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Solihull Moors(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Braintree(away) | 3-2 | National League |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Tamworth(home) | 4-0 | National League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Yeovil Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Woking(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Altrincham(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Aldershot Town(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Truro City(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 York win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | Carlisle 1-1 York | League Two |
| Sep 19, 2015 | York 2-2 Carlisle | League Two |
| Mar 14, 2015 | York 0-0 Carlisle | League Two |
| Dec 28, 2014 | Carlisle 0-3 York | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
York score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.9 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy