Young Boys II vs Bavois: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
The Footlab model makes Young Boys II the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Bavois. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Young Boys II vs Bavois?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Young Boys II (1,680) and Bavois (1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Young Boys II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Bavois have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Breitenrain(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lugano II(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Brühl(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Breitenrain(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 23, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Servette FC(home) | 0-7 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Young Boys II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Bavois win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bavois 0-0 Young Boys II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Young Boys II 0-2 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Bavois 1-0 Young Boys II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Young Boys II 1-2 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Bavois 7-2 Young Boys II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Young Boys II 2-1 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Bavois vs Young Boys II on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Young Boys II score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bavois score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Boys II | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Bavois | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Young Boys II sit 13th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 3 matches) and Bavois sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bavois | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Young Boys II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Young Boys II vs Bavois?
- The Footlab model makes Young Boys II the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Bavois.
- Where and when is Young Boys II vs Bavois played?
- Young Boys II vs Bavois is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Wankdorf, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.