Luzern II vs Biel-Bienne: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Hubelmatt, Luzern
The Footlab model makes Biel-Bienne the favourite at 59%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Luzern II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luzern II vs Biel-Bienne?
Biel-Bienne starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (1,870 vs 1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzern II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Biel-Bienne have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lugano II(home) | 5-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brühl(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Aarau(home) | 3-3 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | YF Juventus(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zürich II(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Luzern II win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Biel-Bienne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Biel-Bienne 4-2 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Luzern II 1-4 Biel-Bienne | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Luzern II 2-3 Biel-Bienne | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Biel-Bienne 3-0 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Luzern II 0-2 Biel-Bienne | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Biel-Bienne 2-1 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Biel-Bienne vs Luzern II on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luzern II score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Biel-Bienne score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzern II | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Biel-Bienne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luzern II sit 15th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 4 matches) and Biel-Bienne sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Biel-Bienne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | Luzern II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luzern II vs Biel-Bienne?
- The Footlab model makes Biel-Bienne the favourite at 59%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Luzern II.
- Where and when is Luzern II vs Biel-Bienne played?
- Luzern II vs Biel-Bienne is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Hubelmatt, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.