Yozgat Bld Bozokspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bozok Stadı Sentetik Dış Saha, Yozgat
The Footlab model makes Yozgat Bld Bozokspor the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yozgat Bld Bozokspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Yozgat Bld Bozokspor (1,692) and Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,610).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yozgat Bld Bozokspor have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(away) | 3-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sebat Gençlikspor(away) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 4-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yozgat Bld Bozokspor | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 58 | 27 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yozgat Bld Bozokspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Yozgat Bld Bozokspor the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Yozgat Bld Bozokspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor played?
- Yozgat Bld Bozokspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bozok Stadı Sentetik Dış Saha, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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