Ağrı 1970 vs Diyarbekirspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vali Lütfü Yiğenoğlu Stadyumu, Ağrı
The Footlab model makes Ağrı 1970 the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Diyarbekirspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ağrı 1970 vs Diyarbekirspor?
Ağrı 1970 starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,631 vs 1,512).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ağrı 1970 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Diyarbekirspor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kapadokyaspor(away) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Karaköprü Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Silifke Belediyespor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ağrı 1970 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Diyarbekirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Diyarbekirspor 1-5 Ağrı 1970 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Ağrı 1970 0-0 Diyarbekirspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Diyarbekirspor vs Ağrı 1970 on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ağrı 1970 score 3.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ağrı 1970 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Diyarbekirspor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ağrı 1970 vs Diyarbekirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Ağrı 1970 the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Diyarbekirspor.
- Where and when is Ağrı 1970 vs Diyarbekirspor played?
- Ağrı 1970 vs Diyarbekirspor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vali Lütfü Yiğenoğlu Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 4, 2026Yeni MalatyasporvsKaraköprü Belediyespor
- Oct 4, 2026AdanasporvsMazıdağı Fosfatspor
- Oct 4, 2026Bitlis ÖzgüzelderesporvsAdana Adaletgucu
- Oct 4, 2026Karaman FKvsKırşehir Belediyespor
- Oct 4, 2026Kırıkkale Büyük AnadoluvsYeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
- Oct 4, 2026OsmaniyesporvsTalasgücü Belediyespor
- Oct 4, 2026Silifke BelediyesporvsNiğde Belediyesispor
- Oct 4, 2026Yozgat Bld BozoksporvsYeşilyurt Belediyespor