Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)St. Patrick Football Complex, Ħaż-Żabbar
The Footlab model makes Zabbar St. Patrick the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Mosta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Zabbar St. Patrick (1,439) and Mosta (1,427).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zabbar St. Patrick have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mosta have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Balzan FC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Naxxar Lions(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Hibernians(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zabbar St. Patrick win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Mosta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Mosta 2-1 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick 5-3 Mosta | Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Mosta 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Mosta 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Mosta | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Mosta 4-2 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zabbar St. Patrick score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mosta score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zabbar St. Patrick | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Mosta | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zabbar St. Patrick sit 7th in Premier League (3 points from 2 matches) and Mosta sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mosta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta?
- The Footlab model makes Zabbar St. Patrick the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Mosta.
- Where and when is Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta played?
- Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at St. Patrick Football Complex, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.