Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów played?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Warta Gorzów

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710) and Warta Gorzów (1,764).

Zaglebie Sosnowiec win40 %

Draw25 %

Warta Gorzów win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Carina Gubin(away)	4-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 5, 2026	Tychy 71(away)	0-1	Cup

Warta Gorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Górnik Polkowice(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Barycz Sułów(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Carina Gubin(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1.2	1.5	5	6/15	8/15
Warta Gorzów	0.9	1.4	6	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Warta Gorzów sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	5	3	1	1	10	5	10
10	Warta Gorzów	5	2	2	1	6	8	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów?: The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Warta Gorzów.
Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów played?: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Gorzów is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.