Zagłębie Lubin II vs SKRA Częstochowa: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for SKRA Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs SKRA Częstochowa?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774) and SKRA Częstochowa (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagłębie Lubin II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; SKRA Częstochowa have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Słowianin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Górnik Zabrze II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SKRA Częstochowa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | SKRA Częstochowa 3-0 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Zagłębie Lubin II 3-4 SKRA Częstochowa | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | SKRA Częstochowa 2-1 Zagłębie Lubin II | II Liga - East |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Zagłębie Lubin II 0-2 SKRA Częstochowa | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zagłębie Lubin II | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| SKRA Częstochowa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zagłębie Lubin II vs SKRA Częstochowa?
- The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for SKRA Częstochowa.
- Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs SKRA Częstochowa played?
- Zagłębie Lubin II vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026ROW RybnikvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Nov 28, 2026Stal BrzegvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Nov 28, 2026Stilon GorzówvsSparta Katowice
- Nov 28, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsKluczbork
- Nov 28, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Nov 28, 2026Carina GubinvsWarta Gorzów
- Nov 28, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsSłowianin
- Nov 28, 2026Barycz SułówvsMiedź Legnica II