Match

Zagłębie Lubin II vs SKRA Częstochowa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin

Zagłębie Lubin IISKRA Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for SKRA Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs SKRA Częstochowa?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774) and SKRA Częstochowa (1,782).

Zagłębie Lubin II win46 %
Draw22 %
SKRA Częstochowa win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagłębie Lubin II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; SKRA Częstochowa have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zagłębie Lubin II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)3-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Kluczbork(away)3-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026Rakow II(home)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Polonia Nysa(away)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Sparta Katowice(home)1-0III Liga - Group 3
SKRA Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Słowianin(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
May 22, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026Górnik Zabrze II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SKRA Częstochowa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026SKRA Częstochowa 3-0 Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3
Sep 5, 2025Zagłębie Lubin II 3-4 SKRA CzęstochowaIII Liga - Group 3
Apr 5, 2024SKRA Częstochowa 2-1 Zagłębie Lubin IIII Liga - East
Sep 23, 2023Zagłębie Lubin II 0-2 SKRA CzęstochowaII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: SKRA Częstochowa vs Zagłębie Lubin II on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zagłębie Lubin II1.72.0210/1513/15
SKRA Częstochowa2.01.349/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Zagłębie Lubin II532011711

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zagłębie Lubin II vs SKRA Częstochowa?
The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for SKRA Częstochowa.
Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs SKRA Częstochowa played?
Zagłębie Lubin II vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zagłębie Lubin II and SKRA Częstochowa

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