Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów played?

Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Gubin, Gubin

Carina Gubin

Warta Gorzów

The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Carina Gubin (1,717) and Warta Gorzów (1,764).

Carina Gubin win35 %

Draw26 %

Warta Gorzów win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carina Gubin have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Carina Gubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3

Warta Gorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Górnik Polkowice(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Barycz Sułów(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Carina Gubin(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Carina Gubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Warta Gorzów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Warta Gorzów 2-1 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
Mar 14, 2026	Carina Gubin 1-3 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 27, 2025	Warta Gorzów 1-1 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
Apr 12, 2025	Carina Gubin 0-1 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 14, 2024	Warta Gorzów 1-2 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
May 24, 2024	Carina Gubin 0-1 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Carina Gubin on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Carina Gubin	1.4	1.7	1	11/15	10/15
Warta Gorzów	0.9	1.4	6	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Carina Gubin sit 15th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Warta Gorzów sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Warta Gorzów	5	2	2	1	6	8	8
15	Carina Gubin	5	1	1	3	4	12	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów?: The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Carina Gubin.
Where and when is Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów played?: Carina Gubin vs Warta Gorzów is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Gubin, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.