Stilon Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Stilon Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stilon Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice?
Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stilon Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Stilon Gorzów win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sparta Katowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice 2-1 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs Stilon Gorzów on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stilon Gorzów sit 11th in III Liga - Group 3 (7 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stilon Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Stilon Gorzów.
- Where and when is Stilon Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice played?
- Stilon Gorzów vs Sparta Katowice is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026ROW RybnikvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Nov 28, 2026Stal BrzegvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Nov 28, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsSKRA Częstochowa
- Nov 28, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsKluczbork
- Nov 28, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Nov 28, 2026Carina GubinvsWarta Gorzów
- Nov 28, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsSłowianin
- Nov 28, 2026Barycz SułówvsMiedź Legnica II