Zakho vs Erbil: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Zakho International Stadium, Zakho
The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Zakho. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zakho vs Erbil?
Erbil starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,684 vs 1,571).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zakho vs Erbil
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zakho
4-3-3- 9A. Rostam
- 77Mohamed Sawlah
- 10Sherko Kareem
- 25M. Ali Abbood
- 26A. Adam
- 14Amjad Attwan
- 23Joseph
- 3Orinho
- 17Y. Al Alousi
- 30A. Khalaf
- 12Ali Kadhim Hadi
Erbil
Not enough data to predict the Erbil lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zakho have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Erbil have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-4 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Karbala(away) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Zakho wins, 1 draw, 1 Erbil win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Zakho 1-2 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Erbil 0-1 Zakho | Iraqi League |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Erbil 0-0 Zakho | Iraqi League |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Zakho 3-1 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| May 22, 2024 | Zakho 2-1 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Erbil 0-2 Zakho | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Zakho score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Erbil score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakho | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Erbil | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zakho sit 12th in Iraqi League (9 points from 8 matches) and Erbil sit 3rd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 18 |
| 12 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Zakho vs Erbil?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zakho vs Erbil?
- The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Zakho.
- Where and when is Zakho vs Erbil played?
- Zakho vs Erbil is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Zakho International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.