Duhok vs Karbala: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Dohuk Stadium, Dohuk
The Footlab AI model makes Duhok the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Karbala. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Duhok vs Karbala?
Duhok starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,551 vs 1,335).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Duhok vs Karbala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Duhok
Not enough data to predict the Duhok lineup.
Karbala
Not enough data to predict the Karbala lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Duhok have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Karbala have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Naft(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Duhok wins, 2 draws, 0 Karbala wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Duhok 2-1 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Karbala 1-2 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| May 9, 2024 | Karbala 1-1 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Duhok 2-1 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Jun 29, 2023 | Duhok 1-1 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Karbala 0-1 Duhok | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Duhok score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karbala score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duhok | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Karbala | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Duhok sit 7th in Iraqi League (12 points from 9 matches) and Karbala sit 20th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 20 | Karbala | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Duhok vs Karbala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Duhok vs Karbala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Duhok the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Karbala.
- Where and when is Duhok vs Karbala played?
- Duhok vs Karbala is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dohuk Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.