Zambia vs Botswana: result 2-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on November 12, 2020 at 04:00 PM (UTC)National Heroes Stadium, Lusaka
Full time
What was the result of Zambia vs Botswana?
Zambia won 2-1 on November 12, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 45′T. OrebonyeBotswana
- 45′E. MwepuZambia
- 67′Collins SikombeZambia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Botswana have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2020 | Ethiopia(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 22, 2020 | Ethiopia(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 11, 2020 | South Africa(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Kenya(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Malawi(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2019 | Algeria(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Zimbabwe(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Egypt(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 30, 2019 | Liberia(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Malawi(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Zambia wins, 2 draws, 0 Botswana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2019 | Zambia 3-2 Botswana | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 26, 2019 | Botswana 0-0 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 3, 2013 | Zambia 2-0 Botswana | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 27, 2013 | Botswana 1-1 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Botswana score 0.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Botswana | 0.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zambia sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Botswana sit 2nd (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ZambiaGroup I | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | BotswanaGroup H | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy