Uganda vs South Sudan: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on November 12, 2020 at 01:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Kitende
Full time
What was the result of Uganda vs South Sudan?
Uganda won 1-0 on November 12, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 84′H. LwaliwaUganda
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uganda have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; South Sudan have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | Eritrea(home) | 3-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 17, 2019 | Tanzania(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Djibouti(home) | 4-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 11, 2019 | Eritrea(away) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 9, 2019 | Somalia(away) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2020 | Cameroon(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Burkina Faso(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2019 | Malawi(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Seychelles(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 9, 2019 | Seychelles(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Uganda wins, 1 draw, 0 South Sudan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2017 | Uganda 5-1 South Sudan | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Uganda 5-1 South Sudan | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 13, 2017 | South Sudan 0-0 Uganda | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 30, 2012 | South Sudan 0-4 Uganda | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Uganda score 2.1 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; South Sudan score 0.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| South Sudan | 0.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uganda sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (4 points from 2 matches) and South Sudan sit 4th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UgandaGroup H | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | South SudanGroup B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
A question about Uganda vs South Sudan?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy