Zambia vs Lesotho: result 3-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on March 23, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
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What was the result of Zambia vs Lesotho?
Zambia won 3-1 on March 23, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 33′Tshwarelo Mattwes BerengLesotho
- 37′F. SakalaZambia
- 53′L. BandaZambia
- 57′L. BandaZambia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lesotho have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | Israel(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Mali(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Namibia(away) | 1-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 15, 2022 | Senegal(home) | 4-3 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 12, 2022 | Botswana(home) | 1-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Malawi(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Eswatini(away) | 0-2 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Mauritius(home) | 2-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Malawi(home) | 2-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Ivory Coast(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Zambia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lesotho win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2021 | Zambia 1-2 Lesotho | COSAFA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lesotho score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Lesotho | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zambia sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (13 points from 6 matches) and Lesotho sit 3rd (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zambia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Lesotho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy