Zambia vs Lesotho: result 3-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on March 23, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
Full time
What was the result of Zambia vs Lesotho?
Zambia won 3-1 on March 23, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 33′Tshwarelo Mattwes BerengLesotho
- 37′F. SakalaZambia
- 53′L. BandaZambia
- 57′L. BandaZambia
Official lineup for Zambia vs Lesotho
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Zambia
- 20P. Daka
- 6B. Sakala
- 10F. Sakala
- 12E. Banda
- 13R. Kabwe
- 22K. Kangwa
- 3Benedict Chepeshi
- 4F. Musonda
- 8L. Musonda
- 23T. Mwape
- 1T. Nsabata
Lesotho
- 12K. Makateng
- 5Tshwarelo Mattwes Bereng
- 6Lisema Richard Lebokollane
- 22T. Mafatle
- 8K. Tseka
- 14T. Ramabele
- 3B. Makepe
- 13R. Senkoto
- 18Thabang Malane
- 19R. Rasethuntša
- 16S. Moerane
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lesotho have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | Israel(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Mali(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Namibia(away) | 1-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 15, 2022 | Senegal(home) | 4-3 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 12, 2022 | Botswana(home) | 1-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Malawi(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Eswatini(away) | 0-2 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Mauritius(home) | 2-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Malawi(home) | 2-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Ivory Coast(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Zambia wins, 0 draws, 1 Lesotho win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2021 | Zambia 1-2 Lesotho | COSAFA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lesotho score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Lesotho | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zambia sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Lesotho sit 4th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ZambiaGroup I | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | LesothoGroup A | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Zambia vs Lesotho?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy