Kenya vs Burundi: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2022 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Mandela National Stadium, Kampala
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kenya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Burundi have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2021 | Rwanda(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Uganda(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Mali(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 7, 2021 | Mali(away) | 0-5 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Rwanda(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2022 | Cameroon(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Namibia(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Liberia(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Bahrain(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Comoros(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kenya win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Burundi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2017 | Kenya 1-0 Burundi | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 25, 2015 | Kenya 1-1 Burundi | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kenya score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Burundi score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Burundi | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kenya sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (6 points from 6 matches) and Burundi sit 4th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kenya | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Burundi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy