Zambia vs Uganda: result 3-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on January 14, 2018 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
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What was the result of Zambia vs Uganda?
Zambia won 3-1 on January 14, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 38′Lazarous KamboleZambia
- 40′Derrick NsimbambiUganda
- 63′A. MulengaZambia
- 72′Fackson KapumbuZambia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Uganda have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | Cameroon(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Nigeria(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Algeria(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Algeria(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Aug 18, 2017 | South Africa(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2017 | Burundi(home) | 2-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 15, 2017 | Zanzibar(home) | 1-2 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 10, 2017 | Ethiopia(away) | 1-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 8, 2017 | South Sudan(home) | 5-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 4, 2017 | Burundi(home) | 0-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Zambia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Uganda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | Uganda 0-1 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Uganda | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zambia sit 5th in African Nations Championship (0 points from 4 matches) and Uganda sit 1st (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Zambia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy