Uganda vs Zambia: result 0-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 23, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hamz Stadium, Kampala
Full time
What was the result of Uganda vs Zambia?
Zambia won 0-1 on January 23, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 41′C. KatongoZambia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uganda have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Zambia have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2016 | Mali(away) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Dec 5, 2015 | Rwanda(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 3, 2015 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 30, 2015 | Malawi(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 28, 2015 | Burundi(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2016 | Zimbabwe(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 15, 2015 | Sudan(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 11, 2015 | Sudan(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 25, 2015 | Mozambique(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 17, 2015 | Mozambique(home) | 3-0 | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Uganda score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zambia score 1.2 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda | 1.5 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Zambia | 1.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uganda sit 1st in African Nations Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Zambia sit 5th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Zambia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy