Zenit vs Akhmat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gazprom Arena, St. Petersburg
The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Akhmat. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zenit vs Akhmat?
Zenit starts as the favourite with a 281-point Elo edge (2,180 vs 1,899).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zenit vs Akhmat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zenit
4-2-3-1- 7A. Sobolev
- 5W. Barrios
- 11Luiz Henrique
- 14Jhon Jhon
- 20Pedro Henrique
- 10M. Glushenkov
- 31Gustavo Mantuan
- 25K. Andrade
- 78I. Diveev
- 33Nino
- 16D. Adamov
Akhmat
4-2-3-1- 77G. Melkadze
- 17Egas Cacintura
- 11Ismael Silva Lima
- 18Júlio Romão
- 20M. Samorodov
- 7L. Sadulaev
- 8M. Bogosavac
- 5K. Cake
- 95A. Adamov
- 6K. Sidibé
- 1V. Ulyanov
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zenit have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Akhmat have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Akron(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Zenit wins, 0 draws, 1 Akhmat win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zenit 2-0 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Zenit 2-1 Akhmat | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Akhmat 1-0 Zenit | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Akhmat 1-2 Zenit | Cup |
| May 24, 2025 | Zenit 3-0 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Akhmat 1-2 Zenit | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Zenit score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Akhmat score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Akhmat | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zenit sit 5th in Premier League (18 points from 9 matches) and Akhmat sit 10th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Zenit | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 18 |
| 10 | Akhmat | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Zenit vs Akhmat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zenit vs Akhmat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Akhmat.
- Where and when is Zenit vs Akhmat played?
- Zenit vs Akhmat is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gazprom Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.