Zenit vs Fakel: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gazprom Arena, St. Petersburg
The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Fakel. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zenit vs Fakel?
Zenit is a heavy favourite: 2,195 Elo points against 1,854, a 341-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zenit vs Fakel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zenit
4-2-3-1- 7A. Sobolev
- 93A. Karpukas
- 5W. Barrios
- 11Luiz Henrique
- 20Pedro Henrique
- 10M. Glushenkov
- 33Nino
- 31Gustavo Mantuan
- 28N. Alip
- 3Douglas Santos
- 16D. Adamov
Fakel
3-4-3- 11A. Sutormin
- 17A. Kovalev
- 7M. Turishchev
- 55D. Todorović
- 23V. Yakimov
- 97B. Magomedov
- 8A. Bagamaev
- 5A. Gabaraev
- 40Clayton
- 53M. Bardachev
- 1D. Frolkin
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zenit have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Fakel have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Zenit wins, 1 draw, 0 Fakel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Fakel 0-1 Zenit | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Fakel 0-2 Zenit | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Fakel 0-1 Zenit | Cup |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Zenit 3-1 Fakel | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Zenit 3-0 Fakel | Cup |
| May 6, 2024 | Fakel 1-1 Zenit | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Zenit score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fakel score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Fakel | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zenit sit 3rd in Premier League (21 points from 10 matches) and Fakel sit 16th (3 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zenit | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 21 |
| 16 | Fakel | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
A question about Zenit vs Fakel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zenit vs Fakel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Fakel.
- Where and when is Zenit vs Fakel played?
- Zenit vs Fakel is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gazprom Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.