Baltika vs Rodina Moskva: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
The Footlab AI model makes Baltika the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Rodina Moskva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Baltika wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baltika vs Rodina Moskva?
Baltika starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,852).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baltika vs Rodina Moskva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baltika
5-4-1- 91B. Gil
- 10I. Petrov
- 7K. Shiltsov
- 73M. Petrov
- 8A. Mendel
- 22M. Beveev
- 24L. Mouyokolo
- 77E. Ćivić
- 21E. Anderson
- 4N. Gassama
- 1E. Latyshonok
Rodina Moskva
5-4-1- 7G. Onugkha
- 5A. Egorychev
- 17S. Bakaev
- 10Y. Reyna
- 18M. Abdusalamov
- 20D. Machado
- 2Igor Silva
- 50Rodrigo Becão
- 38L. Musaev
- 75M. Nadé
- 13S. Volkov
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 02:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baltika have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Rodina Moskva have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Akron(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Baltika wins, 2 draws, 1 Rodina Moskva win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rodina Moskva 0-3 Baltika | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Baltika 2-1 Rodina Moskva | First League |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Rodina Moskva 0-0 Baltika | First League |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Baltika 0-0 Rodina Moskva | First League |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Rodina Moskva 1-2 Baltika | First League |
| Jul 10, 2020 | Baltika 1-2 Rodina Moskva | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Rodina Moskva vs Baltika on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baltika score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rodina Moskva score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Rodina Moskva | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baltika sit 7th in Premier League (17 points from 13 matches) and Rodina Moskva sit 12th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Baltika | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 12 | Rodina Moskva | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 12 |
A question about Baltika vs Rodina Moskva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baltika vs Rodina Moskva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Baltika the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Rodina Moskva.
- Where and when is Baltika vs Rodina Moskva played?
- Baltika vs Rodina Moskva is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Rostec Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.