FC Krasnodar vs Spartak Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Krasnodar, Krasnodar
The Footlab AI model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Spartak Moscow. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Krasnodar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Spartak Moscow?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate FC Krasnodar (2,081) and Spartak Moscow (2,102).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Krasnodar vs Spartak Moscow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Krasnodar
4-2-3-1- 9J. Córdoba
- 18Christian
- 6Kevin Pina
- 11Batxi
- 53A. Chernikov
- 10D. Vorobjev
- 5Jubal
- 40I. Vakhania
- 2M. Rodríguez
- 15L. Olaza
- 1S. Agkatsev
Spartak Moscow
4-2-3-1- 9M. Ugalde
- 18N. Umyarov
- 7P. Solari
- 5E. Barco
- 83Gedson Fernandes
- 25D. Prutsev
- 47R. Zobnin
- 6S. Babić
- 3C. Wooh
- 33Víctor Parada
- 98A. Maksimenko
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 04:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Krasnodar have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Spartak Moscow have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Akron(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Krasnodar wins, 1 draw, 2 Spartak Moscow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 1-2 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 1-1 FC Krasnodar | Cup |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 1-2 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | FC Krasnodar 2-1 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 3-2 FC Krasnodar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 1, 2024 | FC Krasnodar 0-3 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Krasnodar score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Moscow score 2.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Spartak Moscow | 2.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Krasnodar sit 4th in Premier League (26 points from 14 matches) and Spartak Moscow sit 3rd (29 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
A question about FC Krasnodar vs Spartak Moscow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Krasnodar vs Spartak Moscow?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Spartak Moscow.
- Where and when is FC Krasnodar vs Spartak Moscow played?
- FC Krasnodar vs Spartak Moscow is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Krasnodar, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.