ZESCO United vs Green Buffaloes: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
The Footlab model makes ZESCO United the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for Green Buffaloes. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ZESCO United vs Green Buffaloes?
ZESCO United starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,621 vs 1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ZESCO United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Green Buffaloes have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 6-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Mines(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 7, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 ZESCO United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Green Buffaloes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | ZESCO United 1-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Green Buffaloes 2-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Mar 13, 2025 | ZESCO United 1-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Green Buffaloes 1-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Green Buffaloes 0-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | ZESCO United 1-0 Green Buffaloes | Super League |
Last archived meeting: ZESCO United vs Green Buffaloes on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ZESCO United score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Green Buffaloes score 0.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZESCO United | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Green Buffaloes | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ZESCO United sit 10th in Super League (47 points from 34 matches) and Green Buffaloes sit 12th (41 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | ZESCO United | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 30 | 47 |
| 12 | Green Buffaloes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ZESCO United vs Green Buffaloes?
- The Footlab model makes ZESCO United the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for Green Buffaloes.
- Where and when is ZESCO United vs Green Buffaloes played?
- ZESCO United vs Green Buffaloes is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.