Red Arrows vs ZESCO United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nkoloma Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 54%, against 30% for a draw and 17% for ZESCO United. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Red Arrows vs ZESCO United?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Red Arrows (1,672) and ZESCO United (1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Arrows have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; ZESCO United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 6-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Mines(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 7, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Red Arrows win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 ZESCO United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Red Arrows 3-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | ZESCO United 3-1 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ZESCO United 1-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Red Arrows 2-0 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Red Arrows 2-0 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Nov 8, 2023 | ZESCO United 1-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Red Arrows vs ZESCO United on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Red Arrows score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; ZESCO United score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Arrows | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| ZESCO United | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Red Arrows sit 2nd in Super League (63 points from 34 matches) and ZESCO United sit 10th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Arrows | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 63 |
| 10 | ZESCO United | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 30 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Red Arrows vs ZESCO United?
- The Footlab model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 54%, against 30% for a draw and 17% for ZESCO United.
- Where and when is Red Arrows vs ZESCO United played?
- Red Arrows vs ZESCO United is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkoloma Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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