Red Arrows vs ZESCO United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nkoloma Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab AI model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 55%, against 30% for a draw and 15% for ZESCO United. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Red Arrows vs ZESCO United?
On Elo ratings, Red Arrows has 1,670 points and ZESCO United 1,585.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Red Arrows vs ZESCO United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Red Arrows
4-3-3- 28Ricky Banda
- 35James Chamanga
- 10Joseph Phiri
- 6Paul Katema
- 17Ackim Mumba
- 34Saddam Yussuf Phiri
- 21G. Ngwenya
- 32Benedict Chepeshi
- 15Allan Kapila
- 30Kebson Kamanga
- 16Charles Kalumba
ZESCO United
4-2-3-1- 9H. Amine
- 39Z. Chilongoshi
- 20Derrick Obame
- 15Luka Mutoshi
- 17A. Siankombo
- 19L. Mulenga
- 5K. Chongo
- 26M. Chabala
- 21Shemmy Mayembe
- 23Samson Mkandawire
- 33Levis Opiyo
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Arrows have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; ZESCO United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Inate Rouge(away) | 2-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inate Rouge(home) | 2-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 24, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 6-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Mines(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Red Arrows wins, 0 draws, 3 ZESCO United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Red Arrows 3-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | ZESCO United 3-1 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ZESCO United 1-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Red Arrows 2-0 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Red Arrows 2-0 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Nov 8, 2023 | ZESCO United 1-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Red Arrows vs ZESCO United on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Red Arrows score 1.2 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; ZESCO United score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Arrows | 1.2 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| ZESCO United | 1.2 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Red Arrows sit 2nd in Super League (63 points from 34 matches) and ZESCO United sit 10th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Arrows | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 63 |
| 10 | ZESCO United | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 30 | 47 |
A question about Red Arrows vs ZESCO United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Red Arrows vs ZESCO United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 55%, against 30% for a draw and 15% for ZESCO United.
- Where and when is Red Arrows vs ZESCO United played?
- Red Arrows vs ZESCO United is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nkoloma Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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