Match

Nkwazi vs Red Arrows: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka

NkwaziRed Arrows

The Footlab AI model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 49%, against 33% for a draw and 18% for Nkwazi. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,075 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nkwazi vs Red Arrows?

Red Arrows starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,696 vs 1,503).

18%33%49%
Nkwazi winDrawRed Arrows win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nkwazi vs Red Arrows

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nkwazi

Not enough data to predict the Nkwazi lineup.

Red Arrows

4-3-3
  1. 28Ricky Banda
  2. 35James Chamanga
  3. 10Joseph Phiri
  1. 6Paul Katema
  2. 17Ackim Mumba
  3. 34Saddam Yussuf Phiri
  1. 21G. Ngwenya
  2. 32Benedict Chepeshi
  3. 15Allan Kapila
  4. 30Kebson Kamanga
  1. 16Charles Kalumba

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 09:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nkwazi have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Red Arrows have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nkwazi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Green Buffaloes(away)0-0Super League
Oct 10, 2026Chirundu Utd(home)0-0Super League
Oct 3, 2026Roan United(home)1-2Super League
May 24, 2026Prison Leopards(away)0-1Super League
May 20, 2026Man Utd Zambia Academy(away)1-0Super League
Red Arrows
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026Kaizer Chiefs(away)0-1CAF Confederation Cup
Oct 17, 2026Kaizer Chiefs(home)1-0CAF Confederation Cup
Oct 10, 2026Mufulira Wanderers(home)0-0Super League
Oct 4, 2026Mutondo Stars(away)3-1Super League
Sep 13, 2026Inate Rouge(away)2-0CAF Confederation Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nkwazi wins, 3 draws, 3 Red Arrows wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 19, 2026Red Arrows 0-0 NkwaziSuper League
Oct 25, 2025Nkwazi 0-0 Red ArrowsSuper League
Mar 1, 2025Nkwazi 0-0 Red ArrowsSuper League
Oct 26, 2024Red Arrows 1-0 NkwaziSuper League
Mar 16, 2024Nkwazi 0-1 Red ArrowsSuper League
Oct 21, 2023Red Arrows 4-0 NkwaziSuper League

Last archived meeting: Red Arrows vs Nkwazi on Mar 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nkwazi score 0.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Red Arrows score 1.2 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nkwazi0.60.674/152/15
Red Arrows1.20.585/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nkwazi sit 14th in Super League (37 points from 34 matches) and Red Arrows sit 2nd (63 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Red Arrows3417125442263
14Nkwazi3481313212837

A question about Nkwazi vs Red Arrows?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nkwazi vs Red Arrows?
The Footlab AI model makes Red Arrows the favourite at 49%, against 33% for a draw and 18% for Nkwazi.
Where and when is Nkwazi vs Red Arrows played?
Nkwazi vs Red Arrows is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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