Zidgrad Idrija vs Šencur: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 21Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Šencur the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Zidgrad Idrija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zidgrad Idrija vs Šencur?
Šencur starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,568 vs 1,369).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zidgrad Idrija have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Šencur have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Svoboda(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrc(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Žiri(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Tolmin(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tolmin(home) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Izola(home) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(away) | 3-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Dob(home) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Zidgrad Idrija win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Šencur win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija 1-2 Šencur | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Šencur 2-1 Zidgrad Idrija | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Zidgrad Idrija vs Šencur on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zidgrad Idrija score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Šencur score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zidgrad Idrija | 0.9 | 2.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Šencur | 1.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zidgrad Idrija sit 2nd in 3. SNL - West (6 points from 2 matches) and Šencur sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zidgrad Idrija | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Šencur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zidgrad Idrija vs Šencur?
- The Footlab model makes Šencur the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Zidgrad Idrija.
- Where and when is Zidgrad Idrija vs Šencur played?
- Zidgrad Idrija vs Šencur is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.