Žilina vs Spartak Trnava: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Štadión Pod Dubňom, Žilina
The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Žilina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Žilina vs Spartak Trnava?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Žilina (1,914) and Spartak Trnava (1,959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Žilina have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Spartak Trnava have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Komárno(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(away) | 4-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skalica(home) | 1-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Trenčianske Stankovce(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Žilina win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Spartak Trnava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Spartak Trnava 1-0 Žilina | Super Liga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Žilina 0-1 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Spartak Trnava 0-0 Žilina | Super Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Žilina 2-2 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Žilina 2-1 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 2-4 Žilina | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Trnava vs Žilina on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Žilina score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Trnava score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žilina | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Spartak Trnava | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Žilina sit 4th in Super Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Trnava sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Trnava | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Žilina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Žilina vs Spartak Trnava?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Žilina.
- Where and when is Žilina vs Spartak Trnava played?
- Žilina vs Spartak Trnava is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Štadión Pod Dubňom, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.