Zimbabwe vs Lesotho: result 3-1 and analysis
African Nations Championship3rd RoundKick-off on September 22, 2019 at 01:00 PM (UTC)National Sports Stadium, Harare
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What was the result of Zimbabwe vs Lesotho?
Zimbabwe won 3-1 on September 22, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zimbabwe have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Lesotho have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2019 | Somalia(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2019 | Somalia(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Aug 4, 2019 | Mauritius(home) | 3-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 28, 2019 | Mauritius(away) | 4-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 30, 2019 | Congo DR(home) | 0-4 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2019 | Ethiopia(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 4, 2019 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Aug 4, 2019 | South Africa(away) | 3-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 28, 2019 | South Africa(home) | 3-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Cape Verde Islands(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Zimbabwe win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lesotho win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2017 | Lesotho 1-0 Zimbabwe | Friendlies |
| Oct 25, 2015 | Lesotho 1-1 Zimbabwe | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Zimbabwe 3-1 Lesotho | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Zimbabwe score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lesotho score 0.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zimbabwe | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Lesotho | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy