Zimbabwe vs South Africa: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on March 28, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)National Sports Stadium, Harare
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zimbabwe have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; South Africa have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | Guinea(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 14, 2022 | Malawi(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 10, 2022 | Senegal(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 2, 2022 | Sudan(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Ethiopia(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2023 | Liberia(home) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Angola(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2022 | Mozambique(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Botswana(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Sierra Leone(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Zimbabwe win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 South Africa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | South Africa 1-0 Zimbabwe | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 3, 2021 | Zimbabwe 0-0 South Africa | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
Last archived meeting: South Africa vs Zimbabwe on Nov 11, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Zimbabwe score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; South Africa score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zimbabwe | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| South Africa | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zimbabwe sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (9 points from 6 matches) and South Africa sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy