Egypt vs Ethiopia: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on September 8, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
Full time
What was the result of Egypt vs Ethiopia?
Egypt won 1-0 on September 8, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 37′Mostafa FathiEgypt
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Egypt have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Ethiopia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2023 | South Sudan(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 14, 2023 | Guinea(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Malawi(away) | 4-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Malawi(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Belgium(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2023 | Guyana(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 20, 2023 | Malawi(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2023 | Guinea(home) | 2-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Guinea(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Rwanda(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Egypt win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ethiopia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2022 | Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Egypt score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopia score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt | 1.6 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Ethiopia | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Egypt sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (14 points from 6 matches) and Ethiopia sit 4th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy